stereomatch | 7 points
COVID 19 Q/A: Roger Seheult & John Campbell: Lessons Learned and a Look Ahead - duration 1:38:00 - Medcram (2021-01-04)[-] Ok-Film-9049 | 3 points
The problem with their cautious approach is that the pandemic will be over by the time we get an RCT peer reviewed on IVM. They say don't take horse paste.. most doctors won't prescribe it. Although I have followed them both, and respect them, I feel Marik and Kory truly believe in IVM and will be able to see results in clinical practice if it saves a reasonable percentage of lives.
[-] movethroughit | 2 points
Outstanding post, stereomatch!!
[-] stereomatch | 3 points | Jan 08 2021 11:58:12
Here we have medcram (Dr Seheult) and Dr John Campbell prominent educators on YouTube (Dr Campbell is a frequent guest on DW German News) - together in a joint interview.
They have a long discussion on Ivermectin as well (see section below):
28:00 Thoughts on Ivermectin?
Rough transcript of the interesting parts of the video (my comments are in brackets):
15:30 - convalescent plasma - FDA approved when it had no control group
23:00 - vitamin d
Dr Seheult
2 part disease
Early course
And late part
Where steroids work - dexamethasone etc
24:00 - very early there is a suppression of the immune system
suppression of interteron response
Early part engage immunity or help out the immune system
Whereas later in the course when immunity kicks in and there is a cytokine storm and a need to suppress the pneumonia - I think dexamethasone is one of the best things
(Note: may be misleading if it's innate only or adaptive only - what may be is that it virus is suppressing immune response, then elimination of the virus by or before day 8 for nearly all may be removing the brakes on an already building inflammatory response - ie as virus dies it removes the brakes the virus had put in - thereby masking the extent of the potential inflammatory response - the true potential of which may start to rear it's head once virus starts dying - but if so then those who remove virus early or have milder cases because were taking Ivermectin - those should have inflammatory stage early than day 7-8 - but instead they too have it at day 7-8 ir milder but for them also happens then - so why is that - or is that it viral peak is muted then takes time and so winds up having oximeter fall still around day 7-8)
24:40 - Remdesivir - US data supports a bit But UK data where not - WHO RECOVERY trial - but then this used it a bit later
(Note: UK hospitals were turning away early stage patients and only admitting serious cases which may explain the difference ?)
25:19 - monoclonal antibodies
26:30 - Dr John Campbell
Vitamin d - Spain study - calcifidiol
Vitamin d takes days to a week to convert
So vitamin d should be taking when health
When someone becomes ill and if we find them vitamin d it won't convert to calcifidiol for some days to a week so will not happen fast enough to benefit immediately during disease
28:00 Thoughts on Ivermectin?
A lot of people have asked about ivermectin and if could be a potential benefit
Should organizations and governments look into it
Dr Seheult:
We covered ivermectin early on
At that time the theory was Ivermectin somehow inhibited proteins going into the nucleus (that was otherwise causing the immune system to be shut down)
I think the current thinking and what woke us up was the US Senate hearing with Dr Pierre Kory
(Note: maybe understating it - since he may have been watching ivermectin studies coming in last 3-4 months - like we all have)
That group which is looking into Ivermectin ie Dr Paul Marik's group (MATH+ protocol)
(Note: They also were responding to the compelling study results which have been coming in the last 3-4 months)
They believe that ivermectin maybe acting as an ACE2 blocker - almost behaving like a monoclonal antibody
Which maybe beneficial in prevention and in treating early covid19
(Note: Whiteboard Doctor has a good video on the 4 theorized ways ivermectin maybe working and he had mentioned those again in the recent Belize approval video)
Would like to see a large multicentric trial that is peer reviewed
And is conducted in the country where you actually want to have the drug administered because populations can vary
There are randomized controlled trials some with 200-300 participants
But hasn't been peer reviewed
These populations have a higher incidence of parasitic infections (ie immune response and exposure may be different) so are not fully representative of the US population
The mortality in the US is very high
And in these studies the mortality in both arms is very low (due to different parasitic exposure and possibly pathogen exposure leading to a more robust immune response in early covid19 or could be tea drinking etc ?)
If we look at the group that is raising awareness
Boy if Ivermectin works it will be amazing
I am hoping that it will work
If you look that group what they asking for which I think is perfectly reasonable is for the NIH to look at the data and to figure out what needs to be done to move forward so this could potentially be available in the US
Good news is there is a US trial underway by Temple University in Philadelphia
(Note: but is that the one with reduced number of participants?)
Look the people who are proposing this are not quacks - they are well respected academics that have been working in critical care for a long time and have published a number of papers
32:00 - So we have to keep an open mind take it seriously but again remember that it may have potential side effects
(Note: which side effects of he referring to?)
32:05 - Dr John Campbell
Yeah the idea that you have a drug (Ivermectin) that is inexpensive which has a known safety profile is generic people can make it in very large amounts without any copyright issues on the drug
It is a great idea
And that is what happened with steroids these drugs are readily and freely available
We now know how to use them
32:30 - it just seems pity to me that drugs like Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine have gotten tangled up in politics to an extent
And I mean politics with a small p - not really party politics
(Note: Though Hydroxychloroquine was used as a party politics vehicle because Trump happened to push it and the other side thought this was a slam dunk opportunity to prove him wrong)
So this is one of the things we not really free to talk about because there is a lot of emotion around it
And there is a huge amount of disinformation about it
(Note: He means also copyrighted drugs being offended by the idea of a generic drug but he is sidestepping that delicately)
39:50 - As Roger Seheult said the people proposing this are very high quality people
So I spent an evening looking at it and I read their information
And it makes a lot of sense
But when you actually look back to the original trial data I was frustrated
So the Bangladesh paper it showed efficacy but the age profile etc they've got a different parasitic profile they have got malaria
So many other things which could be confusing the picture
(Note: However all this things should tend to make harder to get high enough mortality numbers - and not necessarily on efficacy of ivermectin - unless it is something obscure)
(Note: And if nothing else that trail data is at least useful for the rest of the world as they have a matching demographic)
(Note: Plus these results have a signal that is all in one direction - from Egypt and Peru and so there is some compelling info there)
33:28 - so I am not sure we can take too much from that
So I could not find any clinical trial that I felt I could report on reliably
(Note: Has he seen the Egypt Zagazig Univ post-exposure prophylaxis trial? 8x reduction in symptomatic cases)
So it is an interesting possibility if it works I would be delighted the same as Roger Seheult
It is cheap widely available all over the world it is on the WHO list of essential drugs
34:20 - people obtaining Ivermectin and even horse paste
I imagine neither of you think that's a good idea
Dr John Campbell - take nothing your own doctor doesn't prescribe
(Note: Yet we have doctors who don't know - they were not giving steroids just because WHO said so - or are giving steroids too early (some cases of that in other countries - as Dr Been also reports)
Dr Seheult - (is uncomfortable - doesn't want to be seen supporting when stage had been set to saying let doctors decide) - exactly
(Note: Dr Seheult has already suggested in his earlier videos that some people - staff? - at his hospital is already using Ivermectin on a weekly basis for prophylaxis)
(Note: Also is your local doctor going to be capable of dissecting the data on Ivermectin as minutely as the group dedicated to ICU care, experts on sepsis treatment, and who have studied drug options for months have been doing - most local doctors don't have time and their decision in this matter rests entirely on the specific doctor's inclination towards keeping up with daily research - so saying ignore the MATH+ people who have been right on steroids when the WHO and big segment of traditional media coverage was wrong - and to trust your local doctor being right is a bit disingenuous and not really a fair advice to the public - since your doctor being right on this is a flip of the coin)
(Note: Dr Seheult was a bit uncomfortable being forced to give a yes no answer to this - he is a more subtle analyzer - while Dr John Campbell is more folksy and perhaps less academic - he was willing to say he found no compelling evidence in the studies he read - which Dr Seheult could have agreed with, but he didn't - Dr Seheult has a chemistry major in his undergrad training and is more comfortable explaining the many pathways that Ivermectin or NAC or glutathione could impact the inflammatory pathways - which may not be the forte for others)
(continued below)
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[-] stereomatch | 3 points | Jan 08 2021 11:59:36
(continued from above)
34:50 - recent virus mutation in the UK
37:50 - very small proportion do get reinfected - very small proportion - most are asymptomatic - but that small proportion is less perhaps one in 1000
(Note: reason reinfection is less of a concern is that while you individuals it may matter if they can get reinfected - in practice the viral pandemic can grind to halt with a decline in infectivity - if most publicly active people are vaccinated it will lead to herd immunity as every infected person will have more difficulty finding others who they can make symptomatic carriers)
This new mutation has been shown to cause no more reinfection than the old
38:00 - 99pct of me UK virus same
And vaccines Oxford polyclonal response
So not concerned about viruses changing
And they have ability to change the vaccine
(Note: but will that require testing?)
41:00 - virus allergies etc one in 100,000
Is within expected range
There are people who will get covid19
95 pct protection
Don't let that scare you
43:30 - vaccines seem to protect against serious disease
44:30 - Moderna and pfizer-biontech vaccine
RNA water soluble so cannot get into cell - is necessary to surround that in lipid based capsule
For pfizer has to be maintained at minus 70 degrees while Moderna vaccine has lipid cover needs only minus 20 degrees to maintain
Could be allergic from those elements
Allergic reactions is mostly in those who allergic atopic
Those can give in hospital and we very good to fix
Penicillin 1 in 8000
Vaccine 1 in 100,000
Peanuts 1 in 70
Ibuprofen
Aspirin
Also have allergic reactions
50:00 - Dr Seheult going to get second shot soon which he has heard is worse
Dr Campbell it makes sense since your body already primed and when introduce antigen it again
And can be local and systemic
50:50 - long haulers
Healthy athlete 60pct (I think was 15pct ? I may have misheard) had inflammation of heart tissue
Different parts of virus when ripped up then many epitopes presented to immune system
Post vaccination issue going to be smaller since fewer antigens presented
If have myocarditis then should rest and not do exercise
Have seen earlier viral they do exercise and have heart attack etc
People get better over time
But in some of damage structure of organs then ability to recover is limited
So could be residual organ damage that long term
60,000 people in UK going to be followed
55:40 - are seeing heart rate is high 130 140 with minor exercise
Have seen in 1918 condition called damage to basal ganglion parkinsonism type
Vaccine do to
Narcolepsy
Usually we see that within few months
Are choosing between post viral hauler
Or vaccine long hauler
Guillan Barre
Bells palsy
from vaccine
Or get anyway
Autism after measles mumps etc Cases can be taken out of context
1:02:00 - vitamin d as John also believes as get near summer will improve people's response
More UV-B radiation then vitamin d
Don't see impact of vaccinations - may see in next winter
1:03:00 - need to ventilate areas and in winter less ventilate
In UK coming months going to be difficult because the future cases baked in due to Christmas exposure
Herd immunity not kick in until March April
1:08:00 - we could have had a virus that as transmissable as measles and as deadly as MERS
if we learn from this
Then maybe we got off lightly
1:08:30 - If death rate was Ebola would that make spread less
With MERS shedding high viral load at late stage too
With covid19 they are transmitting when just early symptoms or when starting to feel ill
(Note: viral peak is usually when start getting symptoms since viral peak is so sharply defined as it goes from day 4 to 5 from first infection from near zero to max peak sure to exponential rise - from viral load graph from Dr Michael Mina of Harvard)
Not a question of if but when
So many animal coronavirus
How to make immune system to handle next pandemic
Are same as for what need for good life
People learning that what do in long term and it help
Wild animal trade in Asia
And in world monoculture of animals farms with very little genetic diversity
1:14:00 - your routines to stay safe
1:19:30 - vitamin d
Protein deficiency can reduce ability to make antibodies
Sun 45 degrees or higher
Half the time to get sunburnt
Will make 20,000 units
1:24:00 - fat soluble vitamins A, D, E, K so take with fatty meal
No evidence of that but that ..
1:25:00 - even in sunny California people inside because hot outside and AC and stagnant air
1:26:00 - Dr Campbell - 15,000 year old skeleton DNA in UK had blue eyes - and dark skin
Means was advantage to shed that color
1:28:00 - vitamin d what vitamins to take with it - possibly:
Vitamin K2
Magnesium
K2 helps to keep away from calcification
(Note: though they add some caveats to taking vitamin K because can interfere with anti-coagulant medicines)
1:34:00 - after WHO came up with testing kit Thailand made theirs in 24 hours while US took 47 days as Roger said
1:34:50 - Indians going to vaccinate 300M people in next few months
1:36:20 - cheap approximate tests like Michael Mina suggesting good but I'm Liverpool they found people were changing their behavior if negative going to see old relatives
Video and it's description section - since this is a collaboration, it is posted to both their YouTube channels, though medcram provides a better description section with timestamps for the various topics covered in the video:
Dr John Campbell version:
https://youtu.be/C7J8SPczl6w Medcram discussions Jan 5, 2021 Dr John Campbell
Medcram version:
https://youtu.be/8LXZTU9UbSc COVID 19 Q/A: Roger Seheult & John Campbell: Lessons Learned and a Look Ahead Jan 4, 2021
MedCram - Medical Lectures Explained CLEARLY
Professor Roger Seheult, MD and John Campbell, RN, PhD discuss important COVID-19 questions, review lessons learned from 2020, and look ahead to potential developments in 2021.
Roger Seheult, MD is the co-founder and lead professor at https://www.medcram.com
He is an Associate Professor at the University of California, Riverside School of Medicine and Assistant Prof. at Loma Linda University School of Medicine
Dr. Seheult is Quadruple Board Certified: Internal Medicine, Pulmonary Disease, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine
John Campbell, RN, BSc, MSc, PGC.Pharm, PhD is a health educator and analyst that has spent over three decades teaching students in the United Kingdom, Asia, Africa, and online with an extensive video library.
Dr. Campbell also has also published textbooks on Physiology and Pathophysiology.
He publishes frequent COVID-19 updates at his YouTube channel: https://youtube.com/c/Campbellteaching
A big thanks to Dr. Campbell for his participation.
Interviewer: Kyle Allred, Physician Assistant, Producer, and Co-Founder of MedCram.com
Questions discussed in this interview:
0:00 Introductions
1:44 Lessons we can learn as a society so far from this pandemic?
5:13 How do you decide what COVID 19 information sources are credible?
11:04 Role of pre-print research (non published or peer-reviewed) during a pandemic?
18:07 How can trust be maintained (or restored) in federal organizations like the CDC, FDA in the USA, and NICE in the UK?
22:33 Any new promising treatments besides steroids and remdesivir, and are doctors giving vitamin D to inpatients?
28:00 Thoughts on Ivermectin?
34:40 How will SARS-CoV-2 mutations impact the vaccine, testing, and treatments?
40:26 Thoughts on COVID vaccines authorized so far: safety and efficacy
47:46 Why not just rely on your immune system to fight off COVID-19 instead of a vaccine?
50:37 Thoughts on “long haulers” or Post-COVID syndrome? Have we seen this with other viruses?
57:37 “Background” side effects vs vaccine or intervention side effects
1:00:48 “Predictions” regarding COVID-19 in 2021
1:08:51 If the fatality rate of COVID-19 was higher, would overall infections be lower?
1:13:44 Your personal routine for a healthy lifestyle and staying safe from coronavirus?
1:20:12 What dose of vitamin D do you take and do you take it all year?
1:25:05 Some consequences of time spent indoors (ventilation, vitamin D)
1:26:07 Vitamin D and skin color and archeology findings
1:28:03 Should other supplements be taken with vitamin D?
1:31:25 Lessons to learn from COVID-19 testing and where should it go?
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[-] TrumpLyftAlles | 3 points | Jan 08 2021 23:43:20
Amazing post, Stereo. Thanks so much!
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