Murky-Lengthiness | 6 points
Iquitos Ivermectin Miracle[-] unhurriedman | 2 points
What is the source of this chart?
[-] Murky-Lengthiness | 1 points
Please send me your text via email and I’ll ask the researcher who sent it to me, you are right, this is very confusing. I’ll post the answer here when I send him your text.
[-] TrumpLyftAlles | 3 points | Aug 14 2020 21:22:00
Murky, I don't understand this chart or its relevance to ivermectin.
First, it's Loreto data, not Iquitos, according to the label above the chart.
Second, what are the statements on the right supposed to imply? That the mortality rate is lower? That's good -- but isn't that the pattern everywhere?
Third, the population numbers are inconsistent. The top remark says that 71% represents 167K people, making the population = 167 / .71 = 235. The bottom remark says that 22% of the population is 75K people, making the population = 75 / .22 = 340. 235 vs 350??
Fourth, to what time period is the 0.56 fatality rate supposed to apply? The second number specifies the number "in the last month". Does the first number cover all the time up until that last month?
Fifth, what is the ivermectin angle, if any? Was ivermectin distributed in Loreto? If so, how much over what time period? If there was widespread use of ivermectin beginning the second or third week of April, then perhaps we would infer that the downturn was because of the drug. That's if it's being distributed widely to everyone, like the 75,000 doses in Iquitos. If ivermectin started being used for hospitalized patients around the time of the downturn, and there were a lot of people in hospitals getting ivermectin, that might imply something about the drug.
The graph alone tells us nothing -- or tells me nothing, anyway. What am I missing? I'm not trying to be argumentative or critical; I just want to know what I'm looking at and why it matters.
I'm going to remove this post if I don't see a way to make an ivermectin-specific inference from the chart.
Thanks for your help clarifying how to understand it.
Edit: I found this article by JJChamie (who I think created the chart?) that says:
According to the local press, 2,000 people were vaccinated [dosed with ivermectin] on May 12.
Dosing 2000 people isn't going to have a measurable impact on a population of 235 - 350 thousand people.
Just to add to the confusion, a Google search says the population of Loreto, Peru is 884 thousand. :(
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