jpdowlin | 6 points
44,000 people in Trinidad (Bolivia) received Ivermectin May 22-June 20The result of what happened can be seen here:
https://twitter.com/jim_dowling/status/1282436034182164480
[-] strongerthrulife | 2 points
What in the name of kindergarten graph am I looking at here
EDIT: now I see, terrible graph, but appears to show a significant difference (lower case count)
[-] [deleted] | 1 points
Here's the newspaper article:
https://t.co/UdN3qqdB0a?amp=1
And here you can see how Trinidad's region "Beni" managed to bend the curve down:
(See the " Casos por Departamento" graph)
https://boliviasegura.gob.bo/estadisticas.php
Was it only the Beni province? Beni looks the same as a lot of other areas on the graph. There isn’t nearly enough information to make out any results.
[-] panel_laboratory | 3 points | Jul 12 2020 22:57:02
What am I looking at?
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[-] nojox | 2 points | Jul 12 2020 23:25:00
Santa Cruz is most visibly screwed (topmost curve), Beni (#E76D85 HTML color code, some type of pink I guess) shows the case count very low.
La Paz spikes on 06-July and is now the highest case count below Santa Cruz
Cochabamba is low, and far below La Paz.
All others including Beni, but excluding Santa Cruz and La Paz have a low case count now (12 July)
Beni visibly shows a strong intervention effect as it was the consistently 2nd highest under Santa Cruz from March till 1st June, after which it fell below Cochabamba and then went back to #2 for another 10 days and moving between #2 and #3 with Cochabamba, before falling down below Cochabamba on 21 Jun to the present low state.
I don't understand the language so my analysis should hopefully match the text - e.g. if all places except Santa Cruz and La Paz are given Ivermectin, that would mean that Ivermectin is solid intervention.
What's more intriguing is how all other provinces have super low counts. Is it population, lockdowns, social distancing, poor testing or some other medicine, or just ivermectin?
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[-] nojox | 2 points | Jul 12 2020 23:33:02
/u/jpdowlin If you can translate / explain / verify the above analysis that would be helpful.
Noticed you're Ex-MySQL. I guess you know data :)
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[-] jpdowlin | 2 points | Jul 13 2020 10:07:24
If you compare two departments:
Santa Cruz and Beni (Trinidad is the capital)
Santa Cruz has 5 times greater population but at the beginning of June, it had just a few more cases than Beni. Santa Cruz kept getting more cases, while Beni's case numbers dropped. The curves separated. One possible explanation is the mass treatment with Ivermectin. Another possible explanation would be lock-down or herd immunity.
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